April 8, 2018

DOUBLE TRIPLE IMPORTANT CHANGE. AGAIN. yes again. As of June 26, 2018 I am REMOVING BOTH THE 1000 PERIOD LOOKBACK TREND FILTER AND THE STDEV 1.1 FILTER. After careful consideration, I feel that stdev was being calculated in real time on the actual entry bar, and may be the reason why so many backtest trades were not duplicated in the real world. After I removed lookahead bias (including the current entry bar in lookback trend calculation), the advantage of the 1000 bar lookback was gone - however... the max drawdown is still lower, so it may be worth offering this as an option.

IMPORTANT CHANGE: As of June 25, 2018, I ADDED TRIANGLESMA back into DifferenceEngine. As well, I changed the symbol set to:

TrianglesMA: ZS,ZM,YM,NQ,GC,PL,EUR,GBP,JPY,CL,RB,HO,...

April 3, 2018

I wanted to compare our current drawdown to the worst drawdown in the backtesting data, just to get an idea of what could happen... not to say that this WILL happen, but it's prudent to be aware and prepared.

  1. This drawdown so far, as of April 3, 2018, according the the AlgoLabHouse account:
    .05 risk, $100,000 of capital, SuperSystem
    -17%
    So far has lasted 1 month
     

  2. 2009 drawdown according to Performance Viewer backtesting app
    .05 risk, $100,000 of capital, DifferenceEngine
    -29%
    Lasted approximately 2 months

The current drawdown of $-16,907 equity reduction based on the original investment capital of $100,000 (The original capital was $55,700, but we are using $100,000 as the current capital setting) is -17%

The historical maximum draw...

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