August 22, 2019

The above chart is House Account 2 trading DifferenceEngine. One big advantage of my golden rule about never pausing or changing the house accounts in any way, is that it provides a consistent track record that allows for the observation of trends or patterns that would be difficult to see if not for that consistency.

A trend that I am seeing right now, are these 2 channel lines consisting of a lower trend line and an upper channel line. The lower and upper lines seemed to accurately predict both our recent equity top and the bottom of the drawdown that started Jan 2019. Another pattern is the average time duration of drawdowns which seems to be around 3 months or so.

Using both the trend line, and the average drawdown duration seems to predict that th...

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