View Historical Backtesting Report
SuperSystem is AlgoLab's model trading system. It includes 2 different systems with various parameter combinations and time-frame resolutions.
Real time performance metrics for the SuperSystem can be found at AlgoLabHouse
Trading SuperSystem with $100,000 and the lowest risk level of .05 results in an average hypothetical annual return of around 90% with an average maximum annual drawdown of around 15%
Based on our extensive analysis, we believe that DifferenceEngine is a better trading system than SuperSystem, although there have been, and will be periods of time where SuperSystem will outperform DifferentEngine. We recommend setting your AlgoLab account to AutoFollow account "AutoSystemSwitcher" which will automatically set your AlgoLab account to the system which has recently been outperforming.
The minimum amount of capital to trade SuperSystem using the entire symbol set is $100,000, but with the risk set to the lowest level of .05, the maximum theoretical drawdown is $37,000 which would occur at least once every 10 years - probably more often than that. However, this would mean that there is a 1 in 10 chance that the first year of trading SuperSystem with $100,000 of capital could see a sizeable drawdown. If that drawdown does not occur in the first year, and you don't increase the capital after the first year, then profit generated from the first year could likely cover any serious drawdown loss from subsequent years.
Trading SuperSystem with a risk level comparable to the stock market
The long term average annual maximum drawdown of the S&P 500 index over the last 35 years is 14.2% in exchange for an average annual return of around 7%. The recent maximum drawdown of the stock market was the financial crisis of 2008 where the S&P 500 index dropped 55%.
The default SuperSystem average annual drawdown using an account of $100,000 and the lowest risk possible of .05 yields an average annual maximum drawdown of around 15% with an average annual return of around 90%.
Comparing "apples to apples", with both investment categories generating a similar average drawdown of 14% to 15% for the $100,000 capital invested, the S&P500 returned an average of 7%, whereas AlgoLab returned an average of 90% - almost 13 times more profit for every dollar lost in drawdown!
Run the AlgoLab Performance Viewer web application to review various backtesting result scenarios with your capital, risk settings, futures markets, and filters selections.
Real trading is never nearly as profitable as backtesting, so these values are just rough estimates on the optimistic side.